Prognostic value of estimated plasma volume status at discharge in acute myocardial infarction

Congestive heart failure (HF) is a common complication in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). The estimated plasma volume status [ePVS = (100 - haematocrit)/haemoglobin] is used as the blood plasma volume index to determine the presence of congestion in patients with HF. However, the clinical impact of ePVS at discharge in patients with AMI remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate whether ePVS at discharge could determine the long-term prognosis in patients with AMI.

We retrospectively identified patients with AMI with ePVS measured at discharge between January 2012 and December 2020. The primary endpoint was post-discharge all-cause death. The patients were divided into two groups according to an ePVS cut-off value of 5.5%, which is commonly used in HF. In total, 1012 patients with AMI were included. The median age was 70 years (range, 61-78 years), and 76.4% of the patients were male. The ePVS > 5.5% (high-ePVS) group included 365 patients (36.1%), and the all-cause mortality rate in the total cohort was 17.7%. The log-rank test revealed that the high-ePVS group had a significantly higher rate of all-cause death than the ePVS ≤ 5.5% (low-ePVS) group (P < 0.001). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards model analysis revealed that high ePVS was associated with post-discharge all-cause death, independent of other risk factors (hazard ratio = 1.879; 95% confidence interval = 1.343-2.629, P < 0.001).

High ePVS at discharge was independently associated with high post-discharge all-cause mortality in patients with AMI. Our study suggests that ePVS at discharge in patients with AMI could serve as a novel prognostic marker.