Predicting outcomes in head and neck surgery with modified frailty index and surgical apgar scores

To compare the efficacy of the Modified Frailty Index and Modified Surgical Apgar scores in predicting postoperative outcomes in head and neck cancer patients.

We retrospectively reviewed patients who underwent major head and neck surgery between 2012 and 2015. Modified Surgical Apgar, and Frailty Index, scores were calculated on 723 patients. The primary outcome was 30-day complication and/or mortality.

The mean Modified Frailty Index was 0.11 ± 0.12, and mean Modified Surgical Apgar score was 6.15 ± 1.67. Both scores were significantly associated with 30-day complication (P<0.05). The Modified Surgical Apgar score was superior to the Modified Frailty Index in predicting complications (Area Under the Curve (AUC) = 0.76; 95 % Confidence Interval (CI), 0.722-0.793; and AUC=0.59; 95 % CI, 0.548-0.633, respectively). Concurrent use of both scoring systems (AUC=0.77) was not superior to individual use. An increase in the mFI from 0.27 to 0.36 was associated with an increase in the risk of complication postoperatively (Odds Ratio (OR) = 3.67; 95 % CI, 1.30-10.34, P=.014). A reduction in the mSAS from 7 to 6 increased the risk of complication following surgery (OR=2.64; 95 % CI, 1.45-4.80; P=.002).

Both scores are useful in risk stratifying head and neck cancer patients. The Modified Surgical Apgar score was superior at predicting complications; concurrent use of both scores added minimal benefit.