Prediction model for individualized precision surgery in breast cancer patients with complete response on MRI and residual calcifications on mammography after neoadjuvant chemotherapy

  • 0Department of Radiology, Kangbuk Samsung Hospital, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.

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Summary

This summary is machine-generated.

Predicting residual breast cancer in calcifications after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) is crucial for surgical planning. This study identified molecular subtype and Ki-67 as key predictors, aiding in tailored treatment strategies for breast cancer patients.

Area Of Science

  • Oncology
  • Radiology
  • Breast Cancer Research

Background

  • Accurate assessment of residual carcinoma in suspicious calcifications post-neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) is vital for surgical decision-making in breast cancer patients.
  • Differentiating between calcifications without residual carcinoma (ypCalc_0) and those with residual carcinoma (ypCalc_ca) impacts surgical approach.
  • This study focuses on developing a predictive model for patients with residual suspicious calcifications on mammography but complete response on MRI after NAC.

Purpose Of The Study

  • To identify factors predicting the absence (ypCalc_0) or presence (ypCalc_ca) of residual carcinoma in suspicious calcifications after NAC.
  • To develop and validate a prediction model for residual carcinoma in breast cancer patients with specific imaging findings post-NAC.

Main Methods

  • Retrospective analysis of breast cancer patients who received NAC and exhibited residual suspicious mammographic calcifications with complete MRI response.
  • Development and validation sets were used, spanning January 2019 to December 2022.
  • Multivariable logistic regression and decision tree analysis were employed to identify predictors and build the model.

Main Results

  • The study included 134 women in the development set and 146 in the validation set.
  • Molecular subtype and high Ki-67 were significant independent predictors of ypCalc_0 in the development set.
  • The final prediction model demonstrated good performance in the validation set (AUC 0.844), differentiating ypCalc_0 and ypCalc_ca based on hormone receptor (HR)/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) status and Ki-67 levels.

Conclusions

  • Minimized surgery may be suitable for HR-/HER2+ breast cancers with high Ki-67 showing residual calcifications post-NAC.
  • Complete excision is recommended for HR+/HER2- breast cancers, and for HR+/HER2+ or triple-negative (TN) breast cancers with low Ki-67.
  • The developed prediction model aids in tailoring surgical management based on tumor characteristics and response to NAC.