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Author Spotlight: Advancing Early Detection and Treatment of Gastrointestinal Tumors
Published on: February 16, 2024
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Global Progression Rates of Precursor Lesions for Gastric Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis
Anne I Hahn1, Duco T Mülder2, Robert J Huang3
1Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York.
Summary
Gastric cancer precursor lesions like intestinal metaplasia and dysplasia progress similarly worldwide. This finding suggests surveillance benefits in low-risk areas may match interventions in high-risk regions for these conditions.
Area of Science:
- Gastroenterology
- Oncology
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Gastric cancer (GC) precursor lesions are common, but their progression rates globally are not well understood.
- Variations in incidence rates suggest potential differences in lesion progression between regions.
Purpose of the Study:
- To systematically review and meta-analyze the progression rates of gastric cancer precursor lesions.
- To compare progression rates in countries with low versus medium/high gastric cancer incidence.
Main Methods:
- Systematic review and meta-analysis of studies reporting progression of endoscopically confirmed precursor lesions to GC.
- Stratification of studies based on country GC incidence rates (low <6/100,000; medium/high ≥6/100,000).
- Estimation of progression rates per 1000 person-years for atrophic gastritis (AG), intestinal metaplasia (IM), and dysplasia using random-effects models.
Main Results:
- Global pooled progression rates per 1000 person-years were 2.09 for AG, 2.89 for IM, and 10.09 for dysplasia.
- Progression rates for AG were significantly higher in medium/high incidence countries (2.47) compared to low incidence countries (0.97).
- Progression rates for IM and dysplasia showed no significant difference between low and medium/high incidence countries, though dysplasia rates were numerically higher in high-incidence regions.
Conclusions:
- Intestinal metaplasia and dysplasia exhibit similar progression rates globally, irrespective of country incidence.
- Surveillance of these precursor lesions in low-incidence regions may offer comparable benefits to population-wide interventions in high-incidence regions.
- Further prospective research is recommended to validate findings and guide global screening strategies.
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