Fragmentomics of plasma mitochondrial and nuclear DNA inform prognosis in COVID-19 patients with critical symptoms

The mortality rate of COVID-19 patients with critical symptoms is reported to be 40.5%. Early identification of patients with poor progression in the critical cohort is essential to timely clinical intervention and reduction of mortality. Although older age, chronic diseases, have been recognized as risk factors for COVID-19 mortality, we still lack an accurate prediction method for every patient. This study aimed to delve into the cell-free DNA fragmentomics of critically ill patients, and develop new promising biomarkers for identifying the patients with high mortality risk.

We utilized whole genome sequencing on the plasma cell-free DNA (cfDNA) from 33 COVID-19 patients with critical symptoms, whose outcomes were classified as survival (n = 16) and death (n = 17). Mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) abundance and fragmentomic properties of cfDNA, including size profiles, ends motif and promoter coverages were interrogated and compared between survival and death groups.

Significantly decreased abundance (~ 76% reduction) and dramatically shorter fragment size of cell-free mtDNA were observed in deceased patients. Likewise, the deceased patients exhibited distinct end-motif patterns of cfDNA with an enhanced preference for "CC" started motifs, which are related to the activity of nuclease DNASE1L3. Several dysregulated genes involved in the COVID-19 progression-related pathways were further inferred from promoter coverages. These informative cfDNA features enabled a high PPV of 83.3% in predicting deceased patients in the critical cohort.

The dysregulated biological processes observed in COVID-19 patients with fatal outcomes may contribute to abnormal release and modifications of plasma cfDNA. Our findings provided the feasibility of plasma cfDNA as a promising biomarker in the prognosis prediction in critically ill COVID-19 patients in clinical practice.