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Predicting risky driving behaviours using the theory of planned behaviour: A meta-analysis
Klaire Somoray1, Katherine M White2, Barry Watson3
1Department of Psychology, College of Health Care Sciences, James Cook University, Australia; Centre for Accident Research and Road Safety - Queensland (CARRS-Q), School of Psychology, Faculty of Health, Queensland University of Technology, Australia.
The theory of planned behaviour (TPB) effectively predicts risky driving, with attitude being a key factor in intention. Understanding these predictors is vital for creating effective road safety interventions.
Area of Science:
- Psychology
- Traffic Safety
- Behavioral Science
Background:
- High-risk driving behaviors pose significant public health challenges.
- The Theory of Planned Behaviour (TPB) is a prominent framework for understanding volitional behaviors.
- Limited meta-analyses exist on TPB's efficacy in predicting diverse risky driving actions.
Purpose of the Study:
- To systematically evaluate the Theory of Planned Behaviour's predictive power for various high-risk driving behaviors.
- To identify the relative importance of TPB constructs (attitude, subjective norm, perceived behavioural control, intention) across different driving behaviors.
- To inform the development of targeted road safety interventions based on behavioral science.
Main Methods:
- A comprehensive meta-analysis of studies quantitatively measuring TPB variables and risky driving behaviors.
- Searched four major electronic databases (PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, ProQuest).
- Included 80 records comprising 94 independent samples, assessed for bias using the JBI checklist.
Main Results:
- TPB constructs (attitude, subjective norm, perceived behavioural control) explained 30%-51% of the variance in intention.
- Attitude emerged as the strongest predictor of intention across all examined driving behaviors.
- The TPB model accounted for 36%-48% of the variance in predicting observed behaviors for speeding, distracted driving, and speed compliance.
Conclusions:
- The Theory of Planned Behaviour is a valuable framework for understanding and predicting high-risk driving.
- Targeted road safety interventions should consider the varying influence of TPB constructs on different driving behaviors.
- Further research can refine TPB applications for enhanced traffic safety outcomes.
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