Revising VOC emissions speciation improves the simulation of global background ethane and propane
Matthew J Rowlinson1,2, Mat J Evans1,2, Lucy J Carpenter2
1National Centre for Atmospheric Science, University of York, York, YO10 5DD, UK.
Summary
Chemical transport models struggle to accurately simulate Non-Methane Volatile Organic Compounds (NMVOCs). Improving emission speciation data significantly reduced the model
Area of Science:
- Atmospheric Chemistry
- Climate Modeling
- Environmental Science
Background:
- Non-Methane Volatile Organic Compounds (NMVOCs) influence atmospheric chemistry, affecting ozone and aerosol formation.
- Accurate simulation of NMVOCs in chemical transport models is crucial for understanding atmospheric processes.
- Previous studies identified significant underestimates in simulated ethane and propane concentrations.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the GEOS-Chem model's capability in simulating NMVOC concentrations.
- To assess the impact of improved NMVOC emission speciation on model accuracy.
- To resolve long-standing issues in simulating global ethane concentrations.
Main Methods:
- Comparison of model simulations with observational data from NOAA Flask Network and GAW.
- Utilizing the Community Emissions Data System (CEDS) for total NMVOC mass.
- Incorporating regional emission inventories (NEI, NAEI, MEIC) for NMVOC speciation.
Main Results:
- A significant underestimate of simulated ethane (35%) and propane (64%) was confirmed using CEDS.
- Revised speciation data substantially improved ethane simulation (bias reduced from -35% to -4%).
- Propane simulation improved but remained underestimated (bias from -64% to -48%), suggesting a missing source.
Conclusions:
- Improved NMVOC emission speciation resolves the long-term low bias in simulated global ethane.
- While propane simulation is enhanced, a substantial underestimate persists, indicating a need to identify missing sources.
- Changes in NMVOC speciation had minimal impact on tropospheric ozone and OH concentrations.
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