Teaching Medical Students to Communicate Risks Like Military Intelligence Analysts

Communication about health often involves descriptions of risk: the probability or likelihood of an unfavorable outcome. Communicating risk helps individuals make choices about their own health by building understanding of potential outcomes and providing context for the importance of procedures, health interventions, and lifestyle choices. However, medical education in the United States does not provide future physicians with adequate statistical literacy to communicate risk effectively and rarely encourages them to practice communicating risk in pre-clinical years. Risk communication in military intelligence, a field with formalized risk language and training, offers a unique perspective into potential improvements for medical risk communication. With backgrounds in the military, public health, communication, surgery, and medical education, the authors offer the following recommendations to improve risk communication for medical students. (1) Encourage the use of numerical absolute risk when communicating among health practitioners to avoid varied interpretations of what different risk descriptors ("uncommon," "likely," or "low") might mean; (2) build efficient, teachable skills in use of patient-facing risk communication tools like comparative probabilities and visual aids; and (3) practice estimating risk through role-play of risk communication between medical students and standardized patients. By improving risk communication in medical education, future doctors will be better equipped to build trust through open communication and improve the health of the patients and the communities for whom they care.