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Atmospheric pollution in Chinese cities: Trends and persistence
Guglielmo Maria Caporale1, Nieves Carmona-González2, Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana3,2
1Brunel University London, London, UK.
Chinese air quality is improving, with pollution levels becoming stationary and declining. Recent government policies, including the Zero-Covid policy, have contributed to these positive environmental trends.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Science
- Econometrics
Background:
- Air pollution remains a significant environmental challenge in many urban areas.
- Assessing the long-term behavior and trends of air pollutants is crucial for effective policy-making.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the long memory properties and statistical significance of time trends in air pollutant series for seven Chinese cities.
- To evaluate the impact of government interventions on air quality dynamics.
Main Methods:
- Application of fractional integration techniques.
- Analysis of time series data from January 2014 to November 2022.
- Statistical testing for stationarity, mean reversion, and trend significance.
Main Results:
- Most air pollutant series are found to be stationary, indicating mean reversion and temporary effects of shocks.
- Significant downward trends in pollution levels were observed across the studied cities.
- The Zero-Covid policy period showed a further reduction in pollution.
Conclusions:
- Chinese government initiatives to reduce emissions are yielding positive environmental benefits.
- Policies aimed at improving air quality are effective and should be continued and expanded.
- Observed trends suggest a move towards improved air quality in China.
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