Prognostic factors and prognostic model of non-metastatic clear cell renal cell carcinoma

Although there are some established prognostic evaluation models for clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC), more robust postoperative prognostic evaluation model is urgently needed. Our study intends to explore new clinical and pathological prognostic factors related to non-metastatic ccRCC, which help to establish a better prognostic risk evaluation model in non-metastatic ccRCC.

A retrospective cohort study was conducted in non-metastatic ccRCC patients spanning from 2010 to 2018. Clinical and pathological factors of these patients were collected. Cox regression analysis was employed to assess the relationship between these factors and disease-free survival (DFS), and a nomogram risk prediction model was also constructed.

A total of 1467 patients were ultimately included, comprising 994 men (67.8%), with 800 patients aged between 40 and 60 years old (54.5%), and 80 patients (5.5%) experiencing relapse or metastasis of ccRCC within three years after operation. The follow-up duration ranged from 39 to 146 months. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis identified five independent prognostic factors of DFS (P < 0.05) including sex, tumor maximum diameter, T stage, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), and basophils. Leveraging these five factors, we established a prognostic evaluation model demonstrating good predictive efficacy.

Male, tumor maximum diameter, T stage, LDH, and basophils serve as prognostic indicators for DFS in patients with non-metastatic ccRCC. Patients with high scores based on our model exhibit an elevated likelihood of recurrence or metastasis, thereby potentially selecting postoperative patients with high risk for adjuvant therapy.