Lung cancer incidence rates in young women and men by state in the United States

Previous studies reported higher lung cancer incidence in women than men among persons aged 35-54 years in the United States, a reversal of historically higher rates in men. We examined whether this pattern varies by state. Based on lung cancer incidence (2015-2019) data among adults aged 35-54 years from Cancer in North America database and historical cigarette smoking prevalence data (2004-2005) among adults 20-39 years from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, incidence rates in women were equal to or higher than rates in their male counterparts in 40 of 51 states, with statistically significant differences in 20 states (two-sided, p < .05). In contrast, current and ever smoking prevalence in women compared to men was statistically significantly lower (33 and 34 states, respectively) or similar. Furthermore, there was no association between differences in historical smoking prevalence and lung cancer incidence by sex. Lung cancer incidence rate is higher in young women than young men in most states and is unexplained by differences in smoking prevalence.