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Published on: September 16, 2017
Evaluation of Physiological Variables Determining Time-to-Mortality after Stroke-Associated Pneumonia
Amit K Kishore1,2, Calvin Heal3, Anna Onochie-Williams1
1Greater Manchester Comprehensive Stroke Centre, Geoffrey Jefferson Brain Research Centre, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Northern Care Alliance, Salford Royal, Salford, UK.
Higher respiratory rate and the National Early Warning Score (NEWS) 2 are linked to mortality in patients with stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP). These findings highlight potential targets for intervention to improve outcomes in SAP.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Critical Care Medicine
- Infectious Diseases
Background:
- Stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP) is a common and fatal complication of stroke.
- The National Early Warning Score (NEWS) is used to assess acutely ill patients, but its association with mortality in SAP is not well understood.
- Early identification of mortality risk factors in SAP is crucial for timely intervention.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between the NEWS 2 score and its components and time-to-mortality in patients with SAP.
- To determine if physiological variables predict mortality in SAP patients prior to antibiotic treatment.
Main Methods:
- A cohort of 389 patients diagnosed with SAP within 7 days of hospital admission was analyzed.
- Kaplan-Meier survival curves and multivariable Cox-regression models were used to assess the impact of NEWS 2 parameters on mortality.
- The analysis accounted for pre-specified potential confounders.
Main Results:
- Mortality rates were high, with 52.4% at 1 year and 65.8% at 5 years.
- Increased respiratory rate (HR 1.04, 95% CI 1.01-1.08, p = 0.009) was independently associated with time-to-mortality.
- A higher total NEWS 2 score (HR 1.13, 95% CI 1.06-1.21, p < 0.001) was also independently associated with increased mortality risk.
Conclusions:
- Elevated respiratory rate and total NEWS 2 score before antibiotic initiation are significant independent predictors of mortality in SAP.
- These findings suggest that NEWS 2 parameters could aid in risk stratification and guide treatment decisions in SAP.
- Further research is needed to explore interventions targeting these physiological markers to improve SAP patient outcomes.
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