Assessment of land degradation susceptibility within the Shaqlawa subregion of Northern Iraq-Kurdistan Region via synergistic application of remotely acquired datasets and advanced predictive models

  • 0Department of Petroleum Geoscience, Faculty of Science, Soran University, Soran, Erbil, Iraq. Badeea.abdi@soran.edu.iq.

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Summary

This summary is machine-generated.

Land degradation, including soil erosion, landslides, and rockfalls, was analyzed using 22 factors and machine learning. Fisher

Area Of Science

  • Geosciences
  • Environmental Science
  • Remote Sensing

Background

  • Land degradation (LD) reduces land functionality due to natural and human drivers.
  • Soil erosion, landslides, and rockfalls are prevalent LD types in the Shaqlawa district.
  • Understanding LD is crucial for sustainable land management and hazard mitigation.

Purpose Of The Study

  • To identify and map land degradation susceptibility in the Shaqlawa district.
  • To evaluate the effectiveness of various machine learning algorithms in predicting LD.
  • To pinpoint key conditioning factors influencing land degradation.

Main Methods

  • Integration of 22 land degradation conditioning factors (e.g., TWI, NDVI, lithology, slope).
  • Statistical analysis using Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) and Tolerance (TOL) for multicollinearity.
  • Application and comparison of machine learning algorithms: RF, Naive Bayes, LR, Rotation Forest, FPA, FLDA.
  • Model validation using Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves.

Main Results

  • Topographic Wetness Index (TWI), Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), and lithology were identified as key LD predictors.
  • Fisher's Linear Discriminant Analysis (FLDA) model indicated the highest very high degradation risk (26.72%).
  • Random Forest (RF) showed superior performance on the training dataset (AUC=0.882), while FLDA excelled on the testing dataset (AUC=0.883).

Conclusions

  • Machine learning models effectively categorize land degradation susceptibility.
  • Identifying LD-prone areas is vital for developing targeted mitigation strategies.
  • The study provides valuable data for land-use planners and emergency managers in similar terrains.

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