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Area of Science:

  • Health Services Research
  • Health Outcomes Research
  • Health Policy

Background:

  • Accurate patient assignment to primary care physicians (PCPs) is crucial for effective healthcare delivery and quality measurement.
  • Understanding the congruence between assigned and established patients is essential for evaluating healthcare system performance.
  • The shift towards value-based payments necessitates precise identification of physician-patient relationships.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the alignment between patient assignments and established patient-physician relationships within a large healthcare system.
  • To determine the association between patient assignment congruence and Healthcare Effectiveness Data and Information Set (HEDIS) quality performance.
  • To identify the extent of true-positive, false-positive, true-negative, and false-negative classifications in patient assignment.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective cross-sectional analysis of Medicaid enrollees from January 2020 to February 2022 in Phoenix, Arizona.
  • Inclusion of 100,030 Medicaid patients assigned to or receiving primary care services from a PCP within a fully integrated healthcare delivery system.
  • Utilized precision and recall measures to assess congruence and analyzed HEDIS quality metrics as outcome measures.

Main Results:

  • Only 15% of patients were congruently established and assigned to the same PCP (true-positive).
  • Overall precision was 21% and recall was 37%, indicating significant incongruence in patient assignments.
  • Established patients demonstrated significantly higher HEDIS quality performance for 5 out of 6 metrics compared to non-established patients.

Conclusions:

  • A substantial majority of assigned patients did not receive care from their designated PCP, impacting care continuity.
  • Established patient-physician relationships are associated with superior HEDIS quality performance.
  • The findings underscore the need for improved methodologies to accurately identify physician-patient relationships, especially in the context of value-based care models.