Echocardiographic Screening Model for Improved Assessment of Atrial Septal Defect Closure: A Multicenter

Hezhi Li1, Zehan Huang1, Gangcheng Zhang2

  • 1Department of Cardiology, Guangdong Cardiovascular Institute, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital (Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences), Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China.

PubMed

Insights

A new echocardiography model accurately screens adults with atrial septal defects (ASD) for suitability for closure. This noninvasive tool aids in identifying patients needing intervention, potentially preventing pulmonary hypertension and right heart failure.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Medical Imaging
  • Congenital Heart Disease

Background:

  • Atrial septal defect (ASD) is a common congenital heart condition in adults.
  • Untreated ASD can lead to severe complications like pulmonary hypertension and right heart failure.
  • Current diagnostic methods, such as right heart catheterization (RHC), are invasive, necessitating noninvasive screening tools.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and validate a novel, noninvasive echocardiography-based model for screening adult ASD patients.
  • To identify predictors of a correctable shunt using LASSO regression.
  • To compare the predictive performance of the new ASD model against existing models for congenital heart disease (CHD).

Main Methods:

  • A multicenter, retrospective study involving 924 adult ASD patients (2012-2022).
  • LASSO regression was employed to identify key echocardiographic predictors for correctable shunts.
  • The developed ASD model incorporates estimated pulmonary artery systolic pressure (ePASP), pulmonary valve (PV) peak velocity, tricuspid valve (TVE) peak E-wave velocity, and right atrial (RA) longitudinal dimension.

Main Results:

  • The ASD model demonstrated strong discriminative capability with an AUC of 0.941 in the derivation group and showed good performance in the validation cohort.
  • The model showed superior predictive capabilities for identifying correctable shunts compared to the established CHD model.
  • Statistical significance was supported by Net Reclassification Index (NRI) and Integrated Discrimination Improvement (IDI) analyses.

Conclusions:

  • The developed ASD model is a highly effective and superior tool for prescreening adult patients with atrial septal defects.
  • This noninvasive model can aid clinicians in identifying suitable candidates for ASD closure.
  • The findings advocate for the clinical adoption of this echocardiographic model to improve patient management and outcomes.
Abstract