Reverse epidemiology of obesity paradox: Fact or fiction?

Obesity paradox refers to the clinical observation that when acute cardiovascular decompensation occurs, patients with obesity may have a survival benefit. This apparently runs counter to the epidemiology of obesity, which may increase the risk for non-communicable diseases (NCDs). The scientific community is split on obesity paradox, with some supporting it, while others call it BMI paradox. This review: (a) defines the obesity paradox, and its proposed role in overall mortality in NCDs; (b) delineates evidence for and against obesity paradox; (c) presents the importance of using different indices of body mass to assess the risk in NCDs; (d) examines the role of metabolically healthy obesity in obesity paradox, and emerging importance of cardio-respiratory fitness (CRF) as an independent predictor of CVD risk and all-cause mortality in patients with/without obesity. Evidence suggests that the development of obesity and insulin resistance are influenced by genetic (or ethnic) make up and dietary habits (culture) of the individuals. Hence, this review presents lean diabetes, which has higher total CVD and non-CVD mortality as compared to diabetics with obesity and the possibility of maternal factors programming cardiometabolic risk during fetal development, which may lead to a paradigm shift in our understanding of obesity.