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Updated: Jun 9, 2025

Establishing a Competing Risk Regression Nomogram Model for Survival Data
Published on: October 23, 2020
Are there differences in overall survival among older breast cancer patients by race and ethnicity?
Adrienne Nicole Cobb1, Christine Rogers2, Xiaowei Dong3
1Division of Surgical Oncology, Department of Surgery, Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI; Breast Care Division, Medical College of Wisconsin Cancer Center, Milwaukee, WI.
Background:
Non-Hispanic Black women have lower breast cancer incidence but twice the mortality of non-Hispanic White women. Recent data suggest that the overall survival difference may not be observed in older women. This study aims to determine overall survival in women aged ≥70 years with operable breast cancer by race and ethnicity and factors contributing to overall survival.
Methods:
The National Cancer Database was queried to identify women aged ≥70 years with stage 0-III breast cancer from 2004 to 2018. Patients were separated by race and ethnicity: non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, Hispanic, and Other. To examine overall survival, a Cox proportional hazards model was created, and overall survival was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method.
Results:
There were 304,345 eligible patients. The mean age was 76.8 years (standard deviation 5.5 years), and most were non-Hispanic White (85.2%), had Medicare (86.8%), had hormone receptor-positive breast cancer (78.7%), and underwent partial mastectomy (64.5%). Compared with non-Hispanic White women, non-Hispanic Black women had a higher prevalence of stage III disease (10.8% vs 7.5%, P < .001) and triple-negative breast cancer (16.7% vs 8.7% P < .001), and a longer time to treatment initiation (39.2 vs 32.3 days, P < .001). Median follow-up was 5.38 years (interquartile range: 3.83-7.46 years). Non-Hispanic Black women had the lowest median survival time compared with non-Hispanic White women (9.7 vs 10.4 years, P < .001). After adjusting for insurance type, receptor status, stage, comorbidity, time to treatment, and facility type, there was no increased risk of death for non-Hispanic Black patients (hazard ratio: 0.99, 95% confidence interval: 0.96-1.01, P = .29).
Conclusion:
Although overall survival was lower in older non-Hispanic Black women, this difference resolved on multivariate modeling, suggesting that other factors likely influence overall survival for this cohort.
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