Construction of a combined prognostic model for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma based on deep learning and digital...

Deep learning has made significant advancements in the field of digital pathology, and the integration of multiple models has further improved accuracy. In this study, we aimed to construct a combined prognostic model using deep learning-extracted features from digital pathology images of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) alongside clinical predictive indicators and to explore its prognostic value.

A retrospective analysis was conducted on 142 postoperative pathologically confirmed PDAC cases. These cases were divided into training (n = 114) and testing sets (n = 28) at an 8:2 ratio. Tumor whole-slide imaging features were extracted and screened to construct a pathological risk model based on a pre-trained deep learning model. Clinical and pathological data from the training set were used to select independent predictive factors for PDAC and establish a clinical risk model using LASSO, univariate, and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Based on the pathological and clinical risk models, a combined model was developed. The Harrell concordance index (C-index) was computed to assess the predictive performance of each model for PDAC survival prognosis.

For the training and testing sets, the C-index values for the clinical risk model were 0.76 and 0.75, respectively; for the pathological risk model, they were 0.82 and 0.73, respectively; and for the combined model, they were 0.86 and 0.77, respectively. The combined model exhibited appropriate calibration at 1-, 3-, and 5-year time points, as well as a superior area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic curve and clinical net benefit compared to the single models.

Integrating the pathological and clinical risk models may provide a higher predictive value for survival prognosis.