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A supervised machine learning model to select a cost-effective directional drilling tool.

Muhammad Nour1, Said K Elsayed1, Omar Mahmoud2

  • 1Department of Petroleum Engineering, Faculty of Petroleum and Mining Engineering, Suez University, Suez, 11252, Egypt.

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Optimizing directional drilling tool selection using machine learning can significantly lower field development costs. The XGBoost model accurately predicts section time and cost, accounting for well-specific factors to reduce human bias.

Keywords:
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Area of Science:

  • Petroleum Engineering
  • Data Science
  • Machine Learning

Background:

  • Directional drilling is crucial in the oil and gas industry, necessitating efficient planning and operational optimization.
  • Selecting the appropriate directional drilling tool, such as Rotary Steerable Systems (RSS) or Positive Displacement Motors (PDM), is key for cost-effectiveness.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and validate machine learning (ML) models for automating the optimal selection of directional drilling tools.
  • To predict drilling section time and cost for new wells based on historical offset well data.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized historical offset well data including lithology, directional, drilling performance, tripping, and casing running information.
  • Developed and tested various ML algorithms, with XGBoost identified as the most accurate predictor.
  • The model was designed to account for variations in formation thickness and drilling environments.

Main Results:

  • The XGBoost ML model demonstrated superior accuracy in predicting section time and cost compared to other algorithms.
  • The model successfully adjusted tool recommendations based on specific well factors, indicating no universal preference for RSS or PDM.
  • The data-driven approach effectively reduced human bias in decision-making.

Conclusions:

  • Machine learning provides a robust, data-driven method for optimizing directional drilling tool selection.
  • Tool selection is highly dependent on well-specific geological and operational factors, not a one-size-fits-all solution.
  • Implementing this approach can lead to significant reductions in field development costs, especially in extensive drilling campaigns.