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Effect of emergency medical service response time on fatality risk of freeway crashes: Bayesian random parameters
Peng Huang1, Sheng Ouyang1, Han Yan1
1Guangzhou Expressway Co., Ltd., Guangzhou, China.
Introduction:
Emergency medical service (EMS) serves as a pivotal role in linking injured road users to hospitals via offering first aid measures and transportation. This paper aims to investigate the effect of emergency medical service (EMS) response time on the fatality risk of freeway crashes.
Methods:
Crash injury severity data from Kaiyang Freeway, China in 2014 and 2015 are employed for the empirical investigation. A Bayesian random parameters spatial logistic model is developed for analyzing crash severity.
Results:
Bayesian inference of the random parameters spatial logistic model demonstrates the importance of reducing EMS response time on minimizing the fatality risk of freeway crashes. Fatality odds would increase by 2.6% for 1 min increase in EMS response time. Additionally, vehicle type, crash type, time of day, horizontal curvature, vertical grade, and precipitation are also found to have significant effects on the fatality probability of freeway crashes.
Conclusion:
It is crucial to reduce EMS response time to decrease the fatality likelihood of freeway crashes. Some countermeasures have been proposed to shorten EMS response time.
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