Unveiling Recurrence Patterns: Analyzing Predictive Risk Factors for Breast Cancer Recurrence after Surgery
- Monireh Shahmoradi 1, Ahmad Fazilat 2, Mostafa Ghaderi-Zefrehei 3, Arash Ardalan 4, Ali Bigdeli 5, Nahid Nafissi 6, Ebrahim Babaei 7, Mahsa Rahmani 1
- 1Department of Mathematical Statistics, Yasouj University, Yasouj, Iran.
- 2Department of Genetics, Motamed Cancer Institute, Breast Cancer Research Center, ACECR, Tehran, Iran.
- 3Department of Genetics, Animal Science, Yasouj University, Yasouj, Iran.
- 4Department of Statistics and Computer Science, ISC Royal Holloway University of London, UK.
- 5Department of Biophysics, Faculty of Biological Sciences, Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran, Iran.
- 6Department of Breast Surgery, Rasoul Akram Hospital, Clinical Research Development Center (RCRDC) Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
- 7Preventive Medicine and Public Health Research Center, Psychosocial Health Research Institute, Department of Community and Family Medicine, School of Medicine, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
- 0Department of Mathematical Statistics, Yasouj University, Yasouj, Iran.
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View abstract on PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.This study analyzed breast cancer recurrence intervals and survival in Iran. Key risk factors identified include patient age, progesterone receptor status, tumor grade, and stage, crucial for improving treatment strategies.
Area Of Science
- Oncology
- Biostatistics
Background
- Breast cancer (BC) is a leading cause of cancer mortality in women globally.
- Effective management requires understanding recurrence patterns and survival post-surgery.
Purpose Of The Study
- To investigate time intervals between surgery and recurrence in breast cancer patients.
- To analyze survival outcomes using parametric and semi-parametric models.
Main Methods
- Data from 171 breast cancer cases (2010-2021) at a Tehran center were analyzed.
- Model fitting utilized Akaike Information Criterion (AIC); Cox proportional hazard regression was employed.
- Logistic distribution was identified as the most suitable model for concurrent and independent variables.
Main Results
- The Cox model demonstrated superior fit with the lowest AIC.
- Average age at diagnosis was 50.39 years; estimated typical survival was 53.44 months.
- Significant risk factors for recurrence included patient age, progesterone receptor (PR) status, tumor grade, and tumor stage (P < .05).
Conclusions
- Identified risk factors (age, PR, grade, stage) are critical for predicting breast cancer recurrence.
- Findings emphasize the need for further research and integration of these factors into BC treatment strategies.
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