The prognostic importance of glioblastoma size and shape

Extent of resection, MGMT promoter methylation status, age, functional level, and residual tumor volume are established prognostic factors for overall survival in glioblastoma patients. Preoperative tumor volume has also been investigated, but the results have been inconclusive. We hypothesized that the surface area and the shape were more representative of the tumor's infiltrative capacities, and thus, the purpose of this study was to assess the prognostic value of tumor size and shape in patients with glioblastoma.

In total, 271 patients with primary, unifocal glioblastoma were included from two centers in Norway and Sweden, respectively. All tumors were automatically segmented on preoperative MRI scans and manually validated. Tumor volume was used as a measurement of size, whereas sphericity index and area-to-volume ratio defined the shape complexity of the tumor. Contact surface area of the tumor was considered a measurement of both size and shape. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the prognostic value of the respective tumor measurements, with previously established prognostic factors as covariates.

There were no associations between preoperative tumor volume and overall survival. Contact surface area (HR = 1.013, p = 0.002) and sphericity index (HR = 2.223, p = 0.001) were both significant independent prognostic factors for survival in the multivariable Cox models. Contact surface area was also associated with MGMT promoter methylation (p = 0.039) and extent of resection (p = 0.017).

Tumor shape complexity appears to be an independent prognostic factor in glioblastoma patients and may also be associated with MGMT promoter methylation status and extent of surgical resection.