Development and validation of survival nomograms for patients with anaplastic thyroid carcinoma: a SEER program-based study

  • 0Department of General Surgery, Affiliated Mianyang Hospital of Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Mianyang, China.

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Summary

This summary is machine-generated.

This study identified key prognostic factors for anaplastic thyroid carcinoma (ATC) and developed a predictive model. The model aids clinicians in assessing ATC patient survival and personalizing treatment strategies.

Area Of Science

  • Oncology
  • Medical Statistics
  • Clinical Research

Background

  • Anaplastic thyroid carcinoma (ATC) is an aggressive thyroid cancer with poor prognosis.
  • Identifying prognostic risk factors is crucial for improving patient survival outcomes.
  • A robust clinical prognostic model is needed for ATC patient management.

Purpose Of The Study

  • To investigate prognostic risk factors for anaplastic thyroid carcinoma (ATC).
  • To develop a clinical prognostic model for ATC.
  • To evaluate the survival outcomes of ATC patients using the developed model.

Main Methods

  • Utilized data from 713 anaplastic thyroid carcinoma (ATC) patients from the SEER database (2000-2019).
  • Employed univariate and LASSO regression analyses to identify independent prognostic factors.
  • Constructed and validated a nomogram-based prognostic model using training and validation cohorts.

Main Results

  • Identified age, marital status, race, tumor size, lesion location, surgery, radiotherapy, and chemotherapy as significant prognostic factors for ATC.
  • The developed nomogram demonstrated good predictive accuracy and discriminative ability (C-index: 0.708 in training, 0.677 in validation).
  • Calibration curves confirmed strong consistency between predicted and actual survival rates for ATC patients.

Conclusions

  • A reliable survival prediction model for anaplastic thyroid carcinoma (ATC) has been established.
  • This model can assist clinicians in predicting ATC patient prognosis.
  • The model supports personalized treatment decisions for anaplastic thyroid carcinoma patients.

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