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Published on: September 16, 2022
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Insurance and climate risks: Policy lessons from three bounding scenarios
Carolyn Kousky1, Galen Treuer2, Katharine J Mach3,4
1Environmental Defense Fund, Philadelphia, PA 19118.
Summary
Climate change impacts challenge property insurance and risk management. Near-term policy choices in Florida
Area of Science:
- Climate science and economics
- Risk management and insurance policy
- Socioeconomic impacts of climate change
Background:
- Climate change presents unprecedented risks, straining traditional planning and risk management tools like property insurance.
- US property insurance markets are experiencing turmoil, prompting policy considerations for housing and mortgage stability.
- The timing of market and institutional transitions is crucial for socioeconomic well-being amid escalating climate risks.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate how near-term policy and regulatory decisions in Florida's insurance markets can influence medium-term outcomes.
- To analyze the impact of these choices on risk levels, disaster recovery, housing markets, and local economies.
- To derive policy lessons for effective and equitable climate adaptation strategies.
Main Methods:
- Scenario analysis using three bounding scenarios.
- Investigation of policy and regulatory choices in Florida's insurance sector.
- Assessment of near-term (1-3 years) and medium-term (3-15 years) impacts.
Main Results:
- Policy and regulatory choices in the near term significantly shape medium-term risk landscapes and economic conditions.
- Interventions in insurance markets have cascading effects on housing, mortgage, and local economic stability.
- The study highlights the critical link between current policy decisions and future adaptation pathways.
Conclusions:
- Informed policy and regulatory choices are essential for navigating climate-related risks in property insurance.
- A longer-term perspective is crucial for developing effective and equitable adaptation strategies.
- Proactive policy interventions can mitigate risks and enhance resilience in the face of climate change.
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