Learning Curve of Autologous Arteriovenous Fistula Formation for Junior Vascular Surgeons

Autologous arteriovenous fistulas (AVFs) are considered the gold standard for hemodialysis access, with outcomes largely dependent on the surgeon's experience. Nevertheless, few studies have been conducted on the learning curve of junior vascular surgeons in AVF creation. This study aims to address this by examining the development of surgical skills among junior vascular surgeons.

A retrospective analysis was conducted on 100 patients who underwent autologous AVF procedures performed by five junior surgeons between January 2018 and December 2023. To establish the cutoff number of cases for the learning curve, we examined the cubic spline curve using the hazard ratio for primary failure.

The cutoff number for operation cases was 15.33, and we divided the analysis into a pre-learning curve period (≤15 cases of AVF) and a post-learning curve period (>15 cases of AVF). The 1-year primary patency rate for AVF during the post-learning curve period was 84.0%, which was higher than the 65.5% rate observed during the pre-learning curve period. In a subgroup analysis based on AVF type, the radiocephalic fistula patient group demonstrated a significant increase in 1-year primary patency in the post-learning curve period compared to that in the pre-learning curve period (80.0% vs. 43.0%, log-rank P=0.033). In contrast, there was no significant difference in the primary patency rates between the post- and pre-learning curve periods in the brachiocephalic fistula patient group (90.0% vs. 89.2%, log-rank P=0.930).

Junior vascular surgeons demonstrated improved primary AVF patency beyond the learning curve benchmark in 15 patients, with particularly notable enhancements in radiocephalic fistulas.