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International market exposure to sovereign ESG
Christian Morgenstern1, Guillaume Coqueret2, James Kelly3
1MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Imperial College London, Norfolk Place, London, UK.
Abstract:
We quantify equity and bond market sensitivity to sovereign ESG scores and their variations which, theoretically, is equivalent to evaluating the demand for ESG at the global scale. We do so by estimating a longitudinal model, at the issue level, that captures exposures to sovereign ESG factors for both equity and fixed income indices. In spite of the surging interest in ESG investing, our results do not support a strong impact of ESG factors on the returns of international markets, implying that the demand for ESG at the country level is not a significant driver of prices. Nevertheless, we document a strong association between GDP growth and ESG scores at the country level.
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