Construction of a 2.5D Deep Learning Model for Predicting Early Postoperative Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma...

To construct a 2.5-dimensional (2.5D) CT radiomics-based deep learning (DL) model to predict early postoperative recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

We retrospectively analyzed the data of patients who underwent HCC resection at 2 centers. The 232 patients from center 1 were randomly divided into the training (162 patients) and internal validation cohorts (70 patients); 91 patients from center 2 formed the external validation cohort. We developed a 2.5D DL model based on a central 2D image with the maximum tumor cross-section and adjacent slices. Multiple views (transverse, sagittal, and coronal) and phases (arterial, plain, and portal) were incorporated. Multi-instance learning techniques were applied to the extracted data; the resulting comprehensive feature set was modeled using Logistic Regression, RandomForest, ExtraTrees, XGBoost, and LightGBM, with 5-fold cross validation and hyperparameter optimization with Grid-search. Receiver operating characteristic curves, calibration curves, DeLong test, and decision curve analysis were used to evaluate model performance.

The 2.5D DL model performed well in the training (AUC: 0.920), internal validation (AUC: 0.825), and external validation cohorts (AUC: 0.795). The 3D DL model performed well in the training cohort and poorly in the internal and external validation cohorts (AUCs: 0.751, 0.666, and 0.567, respectively), indicating overfitting. The combined model (2.5D DL+clinical) performed well in all cohorts (AUCs: 0.921, 0.835, 0.804). The Hosmer-Lemeshow test, DeLong test, and decision curve analysis confirmed the superiority of the combined model over the other signatures.

The combined model integrating 2.5D DL and clinical features accurately predicts early postoperative HCC recurrence.