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Asynchronous abundance fluctuations can drive giant genotype frequency fluctuations.

Joao A Ascensao1,2, Kristen Lok1,3, Oskar Hallatschek4,5,6

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|November 23, 2024
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Summary

Large population fluctuations can cause significant genotype frequency changes when different genotypes fluctuate asynchronously. This asynchronous fluctuation, termed decoupling noise, impacts evolution beyond genetic drift.

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Area of Science:

  • Ecology
  • Evolutionary Biology
  • Population Dynamics

Background:

  • Stochastic population abundance fluctuations are common and affect population dynamics.
  • Abundance fluctuations with a Taylor's law exponent of two are not typically considered to strongly influence evolution.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate if asynchronous abundance fluctuations between genotypes can lead to significant genotype frequency fluctuations.
  • To develop a model explaining the mechanisms behind these fluctuations and their evolutionary impact.

Main Methods:

  • Serial dilution experiments with mixed Escherichia coli strains.
  • Development of an effective model for population and genotype frequency fluctuations.
  • Analysis of Saccharomyces cerevisiae populations for decoupling noise.

Main Results:

  • Asynchronous abundance fluctuations led to genotype frequency fluctuations exceeding expectations from genetic drift.
  • A model demonstrated that decoupling in offspring number correlations between genotypes drives these large frequency fluctuations.
  • Chaotic dynamics may underlie the observed excess frequency fluctuations.

Conclusions:

  • Decoupling noise, arising from asynchronous fluctuations, significantly impacts evolutionary outcomes independently of genetic drift.
  • This phenomenon is likely widespread across diverse biological populations due to its generic nature.