HIV and risk of hypertension: a two-sample Mendelian randomization study

Previous studies have shown that human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection is associated with hypertension; however, the results of these studies are affected by a variety of confounding factors. There is no definite evidence to prove a causal relationship between these two factors. This study aimed to investigate the causal relationship between HIV infection and hypertension.

A two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) study was conducted using genome-wide association study (GWAS) statistics published online. The data were collected mainly from the OpenGWAS and FinnGen databases. The HIV database contained 357 HIV patients and 218,435 control patients; the hypertension database contained 54,358 patients and 408,652 control patients; and the blood pressure database contained 436,424 samples. Random effect inverse variance weighting (IVW) was used as the main analysis method, weighted median and Mr-Egger analysis methods were used to ensure the accuracy of the results, and Cochran's Q test and Mr-Egger regression methods were used to detect heterogeneity and correct multiple horizontal effects. Finally, the leave-one-out method was used to analyse the reliability of the test results. In order to further verify the research results, different databases were used and the same statistical method was used for a replication analysis. In order to prevent false positive results caused by multiple tests, Bonferroni correction is used to correct the statistical results.

After screening, a total of 9 SNPs (single-nucleotide polymorphisms) were selected as the instrumental variable (IV) used in this study. The IVW MR analysis results showed a causal relationship between HIV infection and the risk of hypertension (IVW: OR = 1.001, P = 0.03). When systolic blood pressure was the outcome, the IVW method results were positive (OR = 1.004, P = 0.01280), and when diastolic blood pressure was the outcome, the weighted median method results were positive (OR = 1.004, P = 0.04570). According to the sensitivity analysis, the results of this study were unlikely to be affected by heterogeneity and horizontal pleiotropy. The leave-one-out analysis showed that the results of this study did not change significantly with the elimination of a single SNP. In replication analysis, when diastolic blood pressure was taken as the outcome, the weighted median method was positive (OR = 1.042, P = 0.037). Sensitivity analysis shows that there is heterogeneity, but there is no horizontal pleiotropy. The leave-one-out analysis showed that the results of this study did not change significantly with the elimination of a single SNP.

As the first exploratory study using MR method to study the causal relationship between HIV infection and hypertension and blood pressure, this study found that HIV infection may increase systolic and diastolic blood pressure and increase the risk of hypertension. PLWH, as a high-risk group of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, should prevent the occurrence of hypertension in order to further improve their quality of life. However, this study also has some limitations. The results of the relationship between HIV infection and hypertension and blood pressure may be affected by the lack of statistical efficacy. In order to further confirm this conclusion, more large-scale RCT or genetic studies should be carried out.