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Early detection of bloodstream infection in critically ill children using artificial intelligence
Hye-Ji Han1, Kyunghoon Kim1,2, June Dong Park2,3
1Department of Pediatrics, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seongnam, Korea.
Insights
A new machine learning tool can rapidly identify bloodstream infections (BSI) in critically ill children. This model aids in early detection, potentially improving outcomes for pediatric intensive care unit patients.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric critical care medicine
- Machine learning applications in healthcare
- Infectious disease diagnostics
Background:
- Bloodstream infection (BSI) presents a high mortality risk in critically ill patients.
- Early BSI detection in pediatric intensive care units (PICU) is diagnostically challenging.
- Developing rapid diagnostic tools for pediatric BSI is crucial.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and validate a machine learning (ML) model for the rapid recognition of BSI in critically ill children.
- To improve early detection rates of bloodstream infections in pediatric intensive care settings.
Main Methods:
- Utilized a derivative cohort from a tertiary hospital (Jan 2020-June 2023) for model development.
- Included variables such as age, white blood cell count, C-reactive protein, liver enzymes, glucose, and vital signs.
- Compared algorithms including extra trees, random forest, light gradient boosting, extreme gradient boosting, and CatBoost.
Main Results:
- The study analyzed 1,806 measurements from 263 pediatric patients.
- The random forest classifier achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.874 in the development cohort and 0.762 in the validation cohort.
- Patients with BSI had significantly higher mortality and longer PICU stays.
Conclusions:
- A machine learning model was successfully developed for predicting BSI in critically ill children with acceptable performance.
- Further external validation is recommended to confirm the model's effectiveness in diverse clinical settings.
Background:
Despite the high mortality associated with bloodstream infection (BSI), early detection of this condition is challenging in critical settings. The objective of this study was to create a machine learning tool for rapid recognition of BSI in critically ill children.
Methods:
Data were extracted from a derivative cohort comprising patients who underwent at least one blood culture during hospitalization in the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) of a tertiary hospital from January 2020 to June 2023 for model development. Data from another tertiary hospital were utilized for external validation. Variables selected for model development were age, white blood cell count with segmented neutrophil count, C-reactive protein, bilirubin, liver enzymes, glucose, body temperature, heart rate, and respiratory rate. Algorithms compared were extra trees, random forest, light gradient boosting, extreme gradient boosting, and CatBoost.
Results:
We gathered 1,806 measurements and recorded 290 hospitalizations from 263 patients in the derivative cohort. Median age on admission was 43 months, with an interquartile range of 10-118.75 months, and a male predominance was observed (n=160, 55.2%). Candida albicans was the most prevalent pathogen, and median duration to confirm BSI was 3 days (range, 3-4). Patients with BSI experienced significantly higher in-hospital mortality and prolonged stays in the PICU than patients without BSI. Random forest classifier achieved the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.874 (0.762 for the validation set).
Conclusions:
We developed a machine learning model that predicts BSI with acceptable performance. Further research is necessary to validate its effectiveness.
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