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Prediction Models for Elevated Cardiac Biomarkers from Previous Risk Factors and During the COVID-19 Pandemic in
Joao Caballero-Vidal1, Jorge Luis Díaz-Ortega1,2, Irma Luz Yupari-Azabache2
1Escuela Profesional de Nutrición, Universidad César Vallejo, Trujillo 13001, Peru.
Insights
Repeated COVID-19 infections correlate with elevated cardiac troponin inhibitor (cTnI) levels. Cardiovascular risk factors, like comorbidities and LDL, are linked to NT-proBNP, indicating potential cardiac damage prevention strategies.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Infectious Diseases
- Public Health
Background:
- Cardiac troponin (cTnI) indicates myocardial injury, while NT-proBNP signifies myocardial insufficiency.
- Understanding associations between cardiovascular risk factors, SARS-CoV-2 infection history, and these biomarkers is crucial for cardiac health.
- High prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors was noted in the study population.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop binary logistic regression models to assess the association of cardiovascular risk indicators, pre-pandemic history, SARS-CoV-2 infection frequency, and vaccination status with cTnI and NT-proBNP levels.
- To identify predictors of elevated cardiac biomarkers in a Peruvian urban population.
Main Methods:
- A cross-sectional study involving 281 residents of Trujillo, Peru, from September to December 2023.
- Data collection included cardiovascular risk factors (obesity, glycemia, lipid profile), SARS-CoV-2 infection history, vaccination status, and serum concentrations of cTnI and NT-proBNP.
- Binary logistic regression analysis was employed to determine associations.
Main Results:
- High prevalence of abdominal obesity (55.2%), elevated glycemia (53%), hypercholesterolemia (49.8%), low HDL (71.9%), and high LDL (78.6%) were observed.
- A significant association was found between the number of SARS-CoV-2 infections and elevated cTnI levels (OR = 3.513, p = 0.003).
- The number of comorbidities (OR = 2.185, p = 0.025) and LDL levels (OR = 0.209, p = 0.025) were associated with NT-proBNP levels.
Conclusions:
- Increased SARS-CoV-2 infection frequency is linked to higher cTnI levels, suggesting a potential for myocardial injury.
- Comorbidities and LDL cholesterol levels are associated with NT-proBNP, highlighting their role in myocardial insufficiency.
- These findings contribute to understanding and preventing cardiac damage in the context of cardiovascular risk and viral infections.
Abstract:
Cardiac troponin serum concentration is a marker of myocardial injury, but NT-pro BNP is a marker of myocardial insufficiency. The purpose of this study was to determine binary logistic regression models to verify the possible association of cardiovascular risk indicators, pre-pandemic history, the number of times participants were infected with SARS-CoV-2, and vaccination against these biomarkers. A total of 281 residents of Trujillo city (Peru) participated between September and December 2023. We found a high prevalence of abdominal obesity of 55.2%; glycemia > 100 m/dL in 53%; hypercholesterolemia in 49.8%; low HDL in 71.9%; and LDL > 100 mg/dL in 78.6%. A total of 97.5% were vaccinated against COVID-19, and 92.2% had three or more doses. Also, 2.5% had cTnI > 0.05 ng/mL, and 3.3% had NT-proBNP > 125 pg/mL. The number of COVID-19 infections versus cTnI > 0.05 ng/mL presented an OR = 3.513 (p = 0.003), while for NT-proBNP > 125 pg/mL, the number of comorbidities presented an OR = 2.185 (p = 0.025) and LDL an OR = 0.209 (p = 0.025). A regression model was obtained in which there is an association between a higher number of COVID-19 infections and elevated cTnI values and a model implying an association of the number of comorbidities and LDL with the NT-proBNP level in a direct and inverse manner, respectively. Both models contribute to the prevention of cardiac damage.
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