The Progression of Symptoms in Post COVID-19 Patients: A Multicentre, Prospective, Observational Cohort Study

Although the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is no longer a public health emergency of international concern, 30% of COVID-19 patients still have long-term complaints. A better understanding of the progression of symptoms after COVID-19 is needed to reduce the burden of the post COVID-19 condition.

This study aims to investigate the progression of symptoms, identify patterns of symptom progression, and assess their associations with patient characteristics.

Within the P4O2 COVID-19 study, patients aged 40-65 years were recruited from five Dutch hospitals. At 3-6 and 12-18 months post COVID-19, medical data were collected, and pulmonary function tests were performed. In between, symptoms were assessed monthly with a questionnaire. Latent class mixed modelling was used to identify symptom progression patterns over time, with multinomial logistic regression to examine associations with patient characteristics.

Eighty-eight patients (aged 54.4 years, 48.9% males) were included. Three trajectories were identified for fatigue and dyspnoea: decreasing, high persistent, and low persistent. The odds of "decreasing fatigue" was higher for never smokers and participants in the lifestyle intervention and lower for those having a comorbidity. The odds of "decreasing dyspnoea" was higher for moderate COVID-19 patients and lifestyle intervention participants and lower for males, mild COVID-19 patients, and those with a higher age.

Three distinct trajectories were identified for fatigue and dyspnoea, delineating patterns of symptom persistence following COVID-19. Sex, age, smoking status, participation in lifestyle interventions and COVID-19 severity were associated with the likelihood of belonging to different trajectories. These findings highlight the heterogeneity of the long-term symptoms experienced by post COVID-19 patients and emphasise the importance of personalised treatment strategies.