Structural Equation Modelling as a Proof-of-Concept Tool for Mediation Mechanisms Between Topical Antibiotic

James Hurley1,2,3

  • 1Melbourne Medical School, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC 3052, Australia.

PubMed

Insights

Antibiotic exposure in intensive care units (ICUs) can alter the risk of bloodstream infections from common pathogens. Structural equation modeling reveals that Candida colonization and concurrent infections act as harmful mediators, increasing infection risk.

Area of Science:

  • Microbiology
  • Medical Informatics
  • Epidemiology

Background:

  • Antibiotic use in intensive care units (ICUs) can disrupt the microbiome, potentially altering the risk of bloodstream infections (BSIs).
  • Investigating the complex interplay between antibiotic exposure, microbiome changes, and specific pathogens like *Pseudomonas aeruginosa*, *Staphylococcus aureus*, and *Acinetobacter*, as well as *Candida*, is challenging through direct microbial studies.
  • Understanding the mediating factors in these altered infection risks is crucial for patient care.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the impact of antibiotic exposure on the risk of BSIs caused by specific pathogens in ICU patients.
  • To explore the mediating mechanisms through which microbiome alterations influence BSI risk.
  • To compare different theoretical causation models of BSI risk using structural equation modeling (SEM).

Main Methods:

  • Employed structural equation modeling (SEM) to test competing theoretical causation networks.
  • Utilized literature-derived data to confront causation models with clinically relevant infection endpoints.
  • Modeled antibiotic exposure (e.g., topical or parenteral prophylaxis) as key drivers and unobservable microbiome constituents as latent variable mediators.

Main Results:

  • SEM analysis allowed for the testing of multiple causation models against clinical data.
  • *Candida* colonization, treated as a latent variable, consistently emerged as a significant promoter of all types of BSIs.
  • Concurrent infections were also identified as harmful mediators that promote BSIs.

Conclusions:

  • Structural equation modeling provides a viable approach to study complex relationships between antibiotic exposure, microbiome, and BSI risk.
  • *Candida* colonization and concurrent infections are identified as critical harmful mediators in the development of BSIs in ICU patients.
  • The findings highlight the importance of considering fungal colonization and co-infections when assessing BSI risk in antibiotic-exposed ICU populations.