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Related Concept Videos

Uncertainty: Overview00:59

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In analytical chemistry, we often perform repetitive measurements to detect and minimize inaccuracies caused by both determinate and indeterminate errors. Despite the cares we take, the presence of random errors means that repeated measurements almost never have exactly the same magnitude. The collective difference between these measurements - observed values - and the estimated or expected value is called uncertainty. Uncertainty is conventionally written after the estimated or expected value.
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The atomic mass of an element varies due to the relative ratio of its isotopes. A sample's relative proportion of oxygen isotopes influences its average atomic mass. For instance, if we were to measure the atomic mass of oxygen from a sample, the mass would be a weighted average of the isotopic masses of oxygen in that sample. Since a single sample is not likely to perfectly reflect the true atomic mass of oxygen for all the molecules of oxygen on Earth, the mass we obtain from this...
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An experiment often consists of more than a single step. In this case, measurements at each step give rise to uncertainty. Because the measurements occur in successive steps, the uncertainty in one step necessarily contributes to that in the subsequent step. As we perform statistical analysis on these types of experiments, we must learn to account for the propagation of uncertainty from one step to the next. The propagation of uncertainty depends on the type of arithmetic operation performed on...
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The confidence interval is the range of values around the mean that contains the true mean. It is expressed as a probability percentage. The interpretation of a 95% confidence interval, for instance, is that the statistician is 95% confident that the true mean falls within the interval. The upper and lower limits of this range are known as confidence limits. The confidence limits for the true mean are estimated from the sample's mean, the standard deviation, and the statistical factor...
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Base complementarity between the three base pairs of mRNA codon and the tRNA anticodon is not a failsafe mechanism. Inaccuracies can range from a single mismatch to no correct base pairing at all. The free energy difference between the correct and nearly correct base pairs can be as small as 3 kcal/ mol. With complementarity being the only proofreading step, the estimated error frequency would be one wrong amino acid in every 100 amino acids incorporated. However, error frequencies observed in...
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Scientists typically make repeated measurements of a quantity to ensure the quality of their findings and to evaluate both the precision and the accuracy of their results. Measurements are said to be precise if they yield very similar results when repeated in the same manner. A measurement is considered accurate if it yields a result that is very close to the true or the accepted value. Precise values agree with each other; accurate values agree with a true value. 
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Updated: Jun 6, 2025

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Uncertainty-aware genomic deep learning with knowledge distillation.

Jessica Zhou1, Kaeli Rizzo1, Ziqi Tang1,2

  • 1Simons Center for Quantitative Biology, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory, NY, USA.

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|November 28, 2024
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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Deep neural networks (DNNs) in genomics are improved by DEGU (Distilling Ensembles for Genomic Uncertainty-aware models). This method enhances prediction reliability and explainability by combining ensemble learning and knowledge distillation for robust genomic uncertainty modeling.

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Area of Science:

  • Genomics
  • Machine Learning
  • Computational Biology

Background:

  • Deep neural networks (DNNs) are powerful for regulatory genomics prediction.
  • Challenges exist in ensuring DNN prediction reliability and interpretability.
  • Understanding model decision-making is crucial for biological insights.

Purpose of the Study:

  • Introduce DEGU (Distilling Ensembles for Genomic Uncertainty-aware models) to enhance DNN robustness and explainability.
  • Integrate ensemble learning and knowledge distillation for improved genomic predictions.
  • Provide calibrated uncertainty estimates for trustworthy deep learning applications in genomics.

Main Methods:

  • DEGU distills an ensemble of DNNs into a single model.
  • Captures both average predictions and variability (epistemic uncertainty).
  • Includes an auxiliary task for estimating data-based (aleatoric) uncertainty.

Main Results:

  • DEGU models inherit ensemble performance benefits in a single model.
  • Improved generalization to out-of-distribution sequences.
  • Consistent explanations of cis-regulatory mechanisms via attribution analysis.
  • Calibrated uncertainty estimates with conformal prediction coverage guarantees.

Conclusions:

  • DEGU enables robust and explainable deep learning in genomics.
  • Enhances reliability and interpretability of predictive models.
  • Facilitates trustworthy applications of AI in biological research.