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Machine learning is better than surgeons at assessing unicompartmental knee replacement radiographs
S Jack Tu1, Sara Kendrick2, Karthik Saravanan1
1Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Windmill Road, Oxford OX3 7LD, United Kingdom.
The Knee
|November 30, 2024
Summary
Machine learning models can predict poor outcomes after unicompartmental knee replacement (UKR) from radiographs better than experienced surgeons. This AI approach may reveal unseen radiographical features to improve UKR success rates.
Area of Science:
- Orthopedic surgery
- Artificial intelligence in medicine
- Medical imaging analysis
Background:
- Unicompartmental knee replacement (UKR) can yield suboptimal patient outcomes.
- Radiographic assessment of poor UKR results is challenging for even experienced surgeons.
- Identifying predictors of poor UKR outcomes is crucial for improving surgical success.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare the diagnostic performance of machine learning (ML) and experienced surgeons in predicting UKR outcomes from radiographs.
- To investigate whether ML can identify subtle radiographic features associated with poor UKR results.
Main Methods:
- A ResNet50v2 ML model was trained on 924 post-UKR radiographs with known Oxford Knee Score outcomes.
- The trained ML model and two experienced orthopedic surgeons evaluated 70 unseen radiographs for predicted outcome.
- Performance was assessed by comparing predictions against actual patient outcomes.
Main Results:
- The ML model achieved 71% accuracy for poor outcomes and 82% for excellent outcomes.
- Surgeons demonstrated significantly lower accuracy, with one identifying 0% of poor outcomes.
- Model interpretability suggested classifications were based on periprosthetic features.
Conclusions:
- Machine learning models can detect radiographical indicators of poor UKR outcomes that are not apparent to human surgeons.
- Unidentified cases may have extra-articular causes for poor outcomes.
- Further research into ML-identified features could refine UKR indications and surgical techniques to minimize poor results.

