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Performance of Pediatric Index of Mortality PIM-3 in a Tertiary Care PICU in India
Nisha Toteja1, Bharat Choudhary2, Daisy Khera3
1Department of Pediatrics, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, Gorakhpur, Uttar Pradesh, India.
Insights
The Pediatric Index of Mortality-3 (PIM-3) score shows strong predictive ability for mortality in pediatric intensive care units. However, its calibration was poor in a developing country
Area of Science:
- Pediatric critical care medicine
- Health services research
- Clinical epidemiology
Background:
- The Pediatric Index of Mortality-3 (PIM-3) is a widely used scoring system for pediatric intensive care.
- Concerns exist regarding PIM-3's utility in resource-limited settings.
- Region-specific data are needed to assess PIM-3 performance across diverse populations and healthcare constraints.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the performance of the PIM-3 score in predicting mortality.
- To assess PIM-3's accuracy in a tertiary care Pediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU) in a developing country.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective cohort study including children aged 1 month to 18 years admitted to the PICU.
- Data collected included demographics, disease profiles, comorbidities, PIM-3 scores, and outcomes.
- Statistical analysis involved Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic (AUROC) curves for discrimination and Standardized Mortality Ratio (SMR) with Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit for calibration.
Main Results:
- A total of 282 children were included, with 62 (21.9%) deaths.
- The PIM-3 score demonstrated excellent discrimination with an AUROC of 0.961.
- However, the PIM-3 score exhibited poor calibration, as indicated by the Hosmer-Lemeshow test (χ² = 11.7, p < 0.05) and an SMR of 1.28.
Conclusions:
- The PIM-3 score possesses strong discriminatory power for predicting mortality in this PICU.
- Despite good discrimination, the PIM-3 score showed poor calibration in the context of a developing country's tertiary care PICU.
- Further research may be needed to refine or adapt scoring systems for resource-limited settings.
Abstract:
Pediatric index of mortality-3 (PIM-3) is the latest update of one of the commonly used scoring systems in pediatric intensive care. It has free accessibility and is easy to use. However, there are some skepticisms regarding its practical usefulness in resource-limited settings. Hence, there is a need to generate region-specific data to evaluate its performance in different case mixes and resource constraints. The aim of the study is to evaluate the performance of the PIM-3 score in predicting mortality in a tertiary care PICU of a developing country. This is a retrospective cohort study. All children aged 1 month to 18 years admitted to the PICU during the study period from July 2016 to December 2018 were included. We reviewed the patient admission details and the case records of the enrolled. patients. Patient demographics, disease profile, co-morbidities, and PIM-3 scores were recorded along with the outcome. Area under receiver operating characteristics (AUROC) curves was used to determine discrimination. Standardized mortality ratio (SMR) and Hosmer Lemeshow goodness of fit were used to assess the calibration. Out of 282 children enrolled, 62 (21.9%) died. 58.5% of the patients were males, and 60% were less than 5 years of age. The principal diagnoses included respiratory and neurological conditions. The AUROC for PIM-3 was 0.961 (95% CI [0.93, 0.98]) and overall SMR was 1.28 (95% CI [0.96, 1.59]). Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit was suggestive of poor calibration ( χ 2 = 11.7, p < 0.05). We concluded that PIM-3 had good discrimination but poor calibration in our PICU setting.
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