Balancing equity and human leukocyte antigen matching in deceased-donor kidney allocation with eplet mismatch

Human leukocyte antigen-level matching in US kidney allocation has been deemphasized due to its role in elevating racial disparities. Molecular matching based on eplets might improve risk stratification compared to antigen matching, but the magnitude of racial disparities in molecular matching is not known. To assign eplets unambiguously, we utilized a cohort of 5193 individuals with high-resolution allele-level human leukocyte antigen genotypes from the National Kidney Registry. Using repeated random sampling to simulate donor-recipient genotype pairings based on the ethnic composition of the historical US deceased-donor pool, we profiled the percentage of well-matched donors available for candidates by ethnicity. The prevalence of well-matched donors with 0-DR/DQ eplet mismatch was 3-fold less racially disparate for Black and Asian candidates and 2-fold less for Latino candidates compared to 0-ABDR antigen mismatches. Compared to 0-DR antigen mismatch, 0-DR eplet mismatch was 1.33-fold more racially disparate for Asian and 1.28-fold more for Latino, with similar disparity for Black candidates, whereas 0-DQ eplet mismatch reduced disparities, showing 1.26-fold less disparity for Black, 1.14-fold less for Latino, but 1.26-fold higher for Asian candidates. The prevalence of well-matched donors for candidates of different ethnicities varied according to which molecules were chosen to define a low-risk match.