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Integrating Time-Resolved nrf2 Gene-Expression Data into a Full GUTS Model as a Proxy for Toxicodynamic Damage in
Florian Schunck1, Bernhard Kodritsch2, Martin Krauss2
1Osnabrück University, Barbarastr. 12, 49076 Osnabrück, Germany.
Environmental Science & Technology
|December 4, 2024
Summary
This study integrates gene expression data into toxicokinetic-toxicodynamic (TKTD) models to predict chemical toxicity. The novel method uses the stress regulator Nrf2 to link molecular responses to lethality in zebrafish embryos, reducing animal testing.
Area of Science:
- Environmental toxicology
- Computational toxicology
- Molecular biology
Background:
- Chemical industry growth necessitates advanced risk assessment methods.
- Reducing animal testing in risk assessment is a key challenge.
- Integrating omics data into mechanistic models offers a promising alternative.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a method for integrating time-resolved gene expression data into TKTD models.
- To link molecular markers, specifically Nrf2 expression, to organismal effects like lethality.
- To establish a predictive risk assessment framework based on molecular data.
Main Methods:
- Development of a biologically anchored TKTD model.
- Association of toxicodynamic damage with Nrf2 expression.
- Integration of time-resolved RNA data using Bayesian inference and dynamic systems modeling.
- Application of the model to zebrafish embryo data.
Main Results:
- Successful integration of time-resolved gene expression data into TKTD models.
- Demonstration of Nrf2 as a molecular marker influencing survival predictions.
- Validation of the method for predicting lethality in zebrafish embryos.
Conclusions:
- The presented approach enables predictive risk assessment using molecular data.
- This method reduces reliance on animal testing for chemical safety evaluation.
- The biologically anchored TKTD model provides a mechanistic link between gene expression and toxicity.

