Revealing Microplastic risks in stratified water columns of the East China Sea offshore

Microplastics have been proven to impact a broad range of marine species significantly. This study investigated the vertical distribution characteristics of microplastics (MPs) to verify their potential toxicity, distribution patterns, and affecting probability on organisms offshore of the East China Sea (ECS), China. Significant variations in MP characteristics across stratified water layers were identified and corroborated through artificial neural network (ANN) analysis. By a combination of species sensitivity distribution (SSD), risk quotient (RQ) and joint probability curves (JPC) method, this study gave the regional risk thresholds and current risk distributions. Based on SSD, the derived predicted no-effect concentration for the ecosystem was 52.0 items/L (95 % confidence interval: 13.7-262.8 items/L), with the 5 % species hazardous concentration at 103.6 items/L. The RQ assessment results indicated varying ecological risk levels across different water layers, with the highest risks transitioning from north to south and from surface to bottom layers. Most sites exhibited a moderate risk level, with the highest risks identified in surface water near the Yangtze River Estuary, China. Conversely, the JPC analysis suggested a minimal ecological risk across the study area, emphasizing variable ecological risk contingent on species presence. This study underscores the importance of examining surface and intermediate water layers for marine habitats and organisms, highlighting the necessity of prioritizing investigations into the distribution of MPs across different water layers in the ECS, particularly focusing on buoyant polyester fibers present in the upper water column and the layers beneath the offshore surface.