Ethnicity as a Risk Factor for Early Neurological Deterioration: A Post Hoc Analysis of the Secondary Prevention of...

Nearly 25% of those with a small vessel stroke will develop early neurological deterioration (END). The objectives of this study were to identify clinical risk factors for small vessel stroke-related END and its associated impact on functional outcomes in an ethnically diverse data set.

We performed a post hoc analysis of the "Secondary Prevention of Small Subcortical Strokes" trial. The primary outcome was END defined as progressive or stuttering stroke-related neurological symptoms. Standard descriptive and inferential statistical methods were used for analysis. Functional outcomes are reported by modified Rankin Scale score and analyzed by the Wilcoxon signed-rank test.

In all, 69 participants met the inclusion criteria; 21 (30%) had END. Of the cohort, Spanish, Hispanic, or Latino ethnicity (grouping per trial definition) most frequently developed END [11 (52.4%) vs 4 (8.3%), P < 0.001] with a higher adjusted likelihood of END (odds ratio: 14.1, 95% CI: 2.57-76.7, P = 0.002). Black or African-American race less commonly had END [3 (14.3%) vs 21 (43.8%), P = 0.03] but lost significance after adjustment (odds ratio: 1.46, 95% CI: 0.26-8.17, P = 0.67) due to powering. END was associated with a higher mean modified Rankin Scale (2.06 ± 0.94 vs 1.17 ± 0.79, P = 0.006) but did not differ in the shift analysis.

We found that Spanish, Hispanic, or Latino ethnicity was the most consistent risk factor for END though it was without meaningful functional outcome differences.