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Preoperative Biofluid Biomarkers for Predicting Postoperative Neurocognitive Disorders in Older Adults: A Systematic
Ming Ann Sim1,2, Helen Wilding3, Kelly J Atkins1,4
1From the Department of Anesthesia and Acute Pain Medicine, St Vincent's Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Anesthesia and Analgesia
|December 9, 2024
Summary
Preoperative amyloid biomarkers show promise for predicting postoperative cognitive dysfunction (POCD) in older adults. Further research with standardized methods is needed to confirm their utility in risk stratification.
Area of Science:
- Neuroscience
- Geriatric Medicine
- Biomarker Research
Background:
- Perioperative neurocognitive disorders (PNDs) are a significant concern in older adults undergoing surgery.
- Preoperative biofluid biomarkers, including those related to Alzheimer's disease (AD), neuronal injury, and inflammation, may aid in risk stratification for PNDs.
- Existing evidence on the predictive value of these biomarkers for PNDs beyond seven days requires comprehensive summarization.
Purpose of the Study:
- To summarize current evidence on the association between preoperative biofluid biomarkers and PNDs (specifically postoperative cognitive dysfunction, POCD) in surgical patients aged 60 years and older.
- To evaluate the potential utility of biomarkers reflecting neuronal injury, inflammation, and AD pathology in predicting long-term cognitive decline post-surgery.
Main Methods:
- Systematic literature search of six databases and three trial registries up to January 17, 2024.
- Inclusion of studies assessing preoperative biomarkers and cognitive decline beyond seven days post-surgery in participants aged ≥60 years.
- Exclusion of preclinical studies, intracranial surgery studies, and studies with participants younger than 60 years.
- Acceptance of a wide range of cognitive outcomes, including those termed POCD, due to heterogeneity in PND assessment.
- Pooled incidence of POCD was summarized using binary cognitive outcomes.
Main Results:
- Fifteen studies involving 2103 participants were included, exhibiting significant heterogeneity in cognitive outcome metrics and assessment timeframes.
- The pooled incidence of POCD was 23.4% at <3 months, 11.4% at 3 to <12 months, and 6.9% at ≥12 months postoperatively.
- Amyloid biomarkers showed the most promising results, with four out of five studies indicating that lower preoperative amyloid levels are associated with an increased risk of POCD.
- Other biomarkers like p-Tau181 and Neurofilament Light showed potential but were limited by small sample sizes and conflicting results.
Conclusions:
- Preoperative biofluid amyloid biomarkers demonstrate potential utility in predicting POCD, though current evidence is limited.
- Biomarkers such as p-Tau181 and Neurofilament Light may also be relevant, but further investigation is required.
- Standardized cognitive outcome metrics and consistent assessment timeframes are crucial for future studies to establish the prognostic value of these biomarkers for POCD.

