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Prognostic Value of Coronary CT Angiography-Derived Quantitative Flow Ratio in Suspected Coronary Artery Disease
Zehang Li1, Shengxian Tu1, Matthew B Matheson1
1From the Department of Radiology, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China (Z.L., W.Y., L.Q., F.Y.); College of Health Science and Technology, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China (Z.L.); Biomedical Instrument Institute, School of Biomedical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Med-X Research Institute, 1954 Hua Shan Rd, Room 123, Shanghai 200030, China (Z.L., S.T., G.L., Y.C.); Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Md (M.B.M.); InCor Heart Institute, University of São Paulo Medical School, São Paulo, Brazil (C.E.R., B.R.S.M.); Laboratory of Cardiac Energetics, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Md (M.Y.C.); German Centre for Cardiovascular Research (DZHK), Partner Site Berlin, Berlin, Germany (M.D.); and Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiology, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Md (J.M.M., B.R.S.M., J.A.C.L., A.A.Z.).
Insights
Coronary CT angiography (CTA)-derived quantitative flow ratio (CT-QFR) predicts major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) in suspected coronary artery disease (CAD) patients over 5 years. CT-QFR showed similar prognostic value to invasive methods, but prior percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) impacted its predictive accuracy.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Radiology
- Medical Imaging
Background:
- The prognostic significance of coronary CT angiography (CTA)-derived quantitative flow ratio (CT-QFR) for long-term outcomes in patients with suspected coronary artery disease (CAD) is not well-established.
- Comparing CT-QFR with invasive coronary angiography (ICA)/SPECT is crucial for clinical application.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the prognostic value of CT-QFR in predicting 5-year major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) in patients with suspected CAD.
- To compare the predictive performance of CT-QFR against ICA/SPECT.
- To investigate the influence of prior percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) on the prognostic accuracy of CT-QFR.
Main Methods:
- Secondary analysis of the prospective international CORE320 study involving 379 participants undergoing coronary CTA and SPECT before ICA.
- CT-QFR was derived from coronary CTA images; 5-year follow-up data for MACEs were collected.
- Statistical analyses included Kaplan-Meier curves, multivariable Cox regression, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis to compare CT-QFR and ICA/SPECT.
Main Results:
- CT-QFR was an independent predictor of 5-year MACEs (hazard ratio, 1.9; P = .04), alongside prior myocardial infarction.
- MACE-free survival rates were comparable between normal CT-QFR and ICA/SPECT findings (82% vs 80%; P = .45) and abnormal findings (60% vs 57%; P = .40).
- In patients with prior PCI, CT-QFR demonstrated a significantly lower area under the ROC curve for predicting MACEs compared to those without prior PCI (0.44 vs 0.70; P < .001).
Conclusions:
- CT-QFR is a valuable independent predictor of long-term MACEs in patients with suspected CAD.
- CT-QFR exhibits comparable prognostic performance to ICA/SPECT over a 5-year follow-up period.
- The presence of prior PCI diminishes the predictive accuracy of CT-QFR for MACEs, highlighting a limitation in specific patient populations.
Abstract:
Background The prognostic value of coronary CT angiography (CTA)-derived quantitative flow ratio (CT-QFR) remains unknown. Purpose To determine the prognostic value of CT-QFR in predicting the long-term outcomes of patients with suspected coronary artery disease (CAD) in comparison with invasive coronary angiography (ICA)/SPECT and to determine the influence of prior percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) on the prognostic value of CT-QFR. Materials and Methods In this secondary analysis of the prospective international CORE320 study, 379 participants who underwent coronary CTA and SPECT within 60 days before ICA between November 2009 and July 2011 were included for follow-up. The coronary CTA images were analyzed to determine CT-QFR. The primary outcome was major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) in the 5-year follow-up. Kaplan-Meier curves, multivariable Cox regression models adjusted for clinical variables, and areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) were used to assess and compare the predictive ability of CT-QFR and ICA/SPECT. Results CT-QFR computation and 5-year follow-up data were available for 310 participants (median age, 62 years), of whom 205 (66%) were male. CT-QFR (hazard ratio, 1.9 [95% CI: 1.0, 3.5]; P = .04) and prior myocardial infarction (hazard ratio, 2.5 [95% CI: 1.5, 4.0]; P < .001) were independent predictors of MACE occurrence in the 5-year follow-up. MACE-free survival rates were similar in participants with normal CT-QFR and ICA/SPECT (82% vs 80%; P = .45) and in participants with abnormal CT-QFR and ICA/SPECT findings (60% vs 57%; P = .40). In participants with prior PCI, CT-QFR had a lower AUC in predicting MACEs than in participants without prior PCI (0.44 vs 0.70; P < .001). Conclusion CT-QFR was an independent predictor of MACEs in the 5-year follow-up in participants with suspected CAD and showed similar 5-year prognostic value to ICA/SPECT; however, prior PCI affected CT-QFR ability to predict MACEs. Clinical trial registration no. NCT00934037 © RSNA, 2024 Supplemental material is available for this article.
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