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Published on: February 26, 2013
Risk of Death From Various Causes According to Prevalent Atrial Fibrillation: A Nationwide Population-Based Study
Young-Kwan Kim1, So-Ryoung Lee1,2, Eue-Keun Choi1,3
1Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Korea.
Insights
Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) face nearly triple the risk of death from cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases. Risk is stratified by CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores, highlighting the need for integrated care management.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Public Health
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Atrial fibrillation (AF) significantly increases risks of stroke and all-cause mortality.
- Understanding cause-specific mortality patterns in AF patients is crucial for effective care planning.
- This study analyzes causes of death (COD) and relative risks in AF patients versus the general population.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the causes of death (COD) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).
- To compare the relative risks of mortality from various causes in AF patients compared to non-AF individuals.
- To investigate the stratification of mortality risks by CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores in the AF population.
Main Methods:
- Utilized the Korean nationwide claims database, including over 6.8 million individuals aged 40+ from 2009.
- Included 40,585 patients with AF and 6,837,344 without AF, with no missing values.
- Employed Multivariate Cox proportional regression to compare mortality between AF and non-AF groups, defining COD by ICD-10-CM codes.
Main Results:
- Cardiovascular diseases were the most common COD in the AF group (39.8%), compared to 19.0% in the non-AF group.
- AF patients showed a nearly 3-fold higher risk of death from cardiovascular (HR 3.082) and cerebrovascular diseases (HR 2.981).
- Mortality risks (all-cause, cardiovascular, cerebrovascular) in AF patients were stratified by CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores, with a 11-fold higher risk of cerebrovascular death for scores ≥ 7.
Conclusions:
- Patients with AF exhibit significantly elevated risks of death from cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases compared to non-AF individuals.
- Mortality risks associated with AF are effectively stratified by the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score.
- Integrated management of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular conditions in AF patients may reduce mortality.
Background:
Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with increased risks of adverse events including stroke and all-cause death. Understanding the pattern of causes of death (COD) with the relative risks in patients with AF compared to the non-AF population is essential in planning optimal care for patients with AF. We aimed to analyze the COD and its relative risks in patients with AF, using a nationwide population-based cohort.
Methods:
Using the Korean nationwide claims database, people aged 40 or older who received health examinations in 2009 were included if they had no missing values (n = 6,877,929). In total the study included 40,585 people with AF and 6,837,344 without AF. COD was defined by International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM) diagnostic codes. Comparison between the AF and non-AF groups was performed with Multivariate Cox proportional regression model.
Results:
In the AF group, cardiovascular diseases were the most common COD, causing 39.8% of all deaths, compared with 19.0% for non-AF subjects. The AF group was associated with a higher risk of death from cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases by almost 3-fold than the matched non-AF group (hazard ratios [HR], 3.082; 95% confidence intervals [CIs], 2.963-3.205 for cardiovascular diseases; HR, 2.981; 95% CI, 2.799-3.175 for cerebrovascular diseases, all P < 0.001). Among patients with AF, the risks of all-cause, cardiovascular, and cerebrovascular death were well-stratified by CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores. The risk of cerebrovascular death was 11 times higher among patients with a CHA₂DS₂-VASc score ≥ 7.
Conclusion:
Compared to non-AF individuals, patients with AF had a higher risk of death from cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, and the mortality risks were well-stratified by the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score. Integrated care management of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases for patients with AF might help mitigate mortality.
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