Accrual of organ damage and one-year mortality in systemic sclerosis: A prospective observational study

To determine cumulative organ damage in patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc) according to the Scleroderma Clinical Trials Consortium Damage Index (SCTC-DI), assess 1-year mortality risk, and identify associated factors.

A prospective, single-center study was conducted in a cohort of patients with SSc. A cross-sectional study and a 12-month longitudinal follow-up were carried out. The main outcomes were SCTC-DI and all-cause mortality at 12 months. Other variables included clinical-laboratory data, modified Rodnan Skin Score (mRSS), EuroQoL 5-D (EQ-5D), and Steinbrocker functional status. Multivariate models were used to study factors associated with SCTC-DI and mortality.

The study population comprised 75 patients (97.3% females) with a mean age of 59.6 years. The median (IQR) of the SCTC-DI was 4(6), and only 4 (5.3%) patients had severe SCTC-DI (≥13). The factors associated with SCTC-DI were disease duration (β=0.276), mRSS (β=0.287), C-reactive protein (CRP) concentration (β=0.311), and EQ-5D (β= -0.207). After 1 year of follow-up, 4 patients had died. The factors associated with mortality at 12 months (OR [95% CI]) were baseline SCTC-DI ≥13 (44.5 [1.6-1237.9]; p = 0.025) and visual analog scale (VAS) of the EQ-5D (0.9 [0.8-0.9]; p = 0.018).

The SCTC DI can prove useful in clinical practice for assessing disease progression and short-term mortality risk. Cumulative damage was associated with disease duration, mRSS, CRP concentration, and a decline in EQ-5D, while the risk of death at 12 months was primarily associated with high SCTC-DI and low EQ-5D VAS. New studies are needed to improve assessment tools in patients with SSc.