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Stochastic offspring distributions amplify selection bias in mutation accumulation experiments.

Mojgan Ezadian1, Lindi M Wahl1

  • 1Mathematics, Western University, London, Canada.

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Summary

Mutation accumulation experiments reveal stronger selection bias than previously thought. A new stochastic model, accounting for genetic drift and lineage loss, accurately corrects for these effects in evolutionary studies.

Keywords:
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Area of Science:

  • Evolutionary Biology
  • Microbial Genetics
  • Population Genetics

Background:

  • Mutation accumulation (MA) experiments are crucial for understanding evolutionary processes.
  • Previous MA studies often used deterministic models, potentially underestimating selection effects.
  • Microbial MA experiments typically involve growth phases followed by severe bottlenecks.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop a fully stochastic model for microbial mutation accumulation experiments.
  • To investigate the impact of realistic offspring distributions on selection bias.
  • To provide accurate methods for correcting selection effects in MA data.

Main Methods:

  • Developed a stochastic model incorporating genetic drift and lineage loss.
  • Utilized analytical and numerical approaches for bias correction.
  • Applied methods to simulated MA data for validation.

Main Results:

  • Stochastic offspring distributions significantly amplify selection bias in MA experiments.
  • Selection bias is stronger than predicted by previous deterministic models.
  • The developed methods accurately correct for selection effects on fitness distributions.

Conclusions:

  • Stochasticity is critical for accurately modeling selection in MA experiments.
  • The new correction methods improve the analysis of evolutionary trajectories.
  • This work enhances the interpretation of fitness effect distributions derived from MA studies.