Cardiometabolic risk factors and clinical course of liver cirrhosis

The global prevalence of Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Liver Disease is dramatically increasing with the diffusion of cardiometabolic risk factors (CMRFs). The aim of the present study was to assess the natural course of liver cirrhosis, in terms of decompensation, development of hepatocellular carcinoma and mortality, in relation to the presence of CMRFs (type 2 diabetes mellitus, obesity, arterial hypertension, low HDL levels, hypertriglyceridemia).

667 patients with liver cirrhosis (50 with CMRFs and without non-metabolic aetiological factors, 167 with non-metabolic aetiological factors and without CMRFs, and 450 with both non-metabolic aetiological factors and at least one CMRF) followed at the University and General Hospital of Padua, Italy, from 1998 to 2022, were included.

No difference in the occurrence of cirrhosis decompensating events and development of hepatocellular carcinoma was observed, whereas patients in the metabolic or mixed group had 4-3-fold higher all-cause mortality and significantly lower 3-years survival compared to patients in the non-metabolic group, despite a better liver function at enrolment. Hypertriglyceridemia and low HDL levels were the less prevalent CMRFs, but those associated with the highest risk of cirrhosis decompensation. Hypertriglyceridemia was also associated with an increased risk of mortality. Arterial hypertension was associated with a reduced risk of cirrhosis decompensation, but a higher risk of mortality.

Compared to patients without CMRFs, those with CMRFs had similar rates of liver cirrhosis decompensation but higher overall mortality. Hypertriglyceridemia was associated with a high risk of both liver decompensation and death.