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When children can explain why they believe a claim, they suggest a better empirical test for that claim
Tone K Hermansen1, Kamilla F Mathisen1, Samuel Ronfard2
1Department of Psychology, University of Oslo, Forskningsveien 3A, Oslo 0373, Norway.
Insights
Older children better justify beliefs and plan empirical tests when uncertain about surprising claims. Reflecting on uncertainty aids belief assessment, improving scientific reasoning skills in children.
Area of Science:
- Cognitive Development
- Epistemology
- Child Psychology
Background:
- Children's understanding of uncertainty is crucial for scientific reasoning.
- Developing the ability to reflect on the causes of uncertainty aids empirical investigation.
- Age-related differences in children's metacognitive abilities are well-documented.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate if reflecting on uncertainty improves children's ability to target empirical investigations.
- To examine the developmental trajectory of this ability in children aged 4-7 years.
- To explore the relationship between justifying beliefs and selecting effective tests.
Main Methods:
- 174 children (4-7 years) were assigned to prompted or unprompted conditions.
- Participants observed surprising claims and reported belief, certainty, and testing methods.
- The prompted group additionally explained their certainty/uncertainty.
Main Results:
- Older children, compared to younger children, more frequently justified beliefs and proposed targeted empirical tests.
- Prompting children to reflect on uncertainty did not enhance their ability to generate efficient tests.
- Exploratory analysis indicated that plausible belief justification correlated with selecting efficient tests, controlling for other factors.
Conclusions:
- Children's capacity to justify their beliefs is linked to improved empirical assessment.
- Developmental increases in reasoning about beliefs enhance children's ability to evaluate claims empirically.
- Metacognitive reflection on uncertainty plays a role in refining scientific inquiry skills in children.
Abstract:
We tested the hypothesis that children's ability to reflect on the causes of their uncertainty about a surprising claim allows them to better target their empirical investigation of that claim-and that this ability increases with age. We assigned 4-7-year-old children (n=174, Mage = 68.77 months, 52.87% girls) to either a prompted or an unprompted condition. In each condition, children witnessed a series of vignettes where an adult presented a surprising claim about an object. Children were then asked whether they thought the claim was true or not, how certain or uncertain they were, and how they would test that claim. In the prompted condition, children were also asked why they were certain or uncertain. As predicted, older children were more likely to justify their beliefs and to suggest targeted empirical tests, compared with younger children. Being prompted to reflect on their uncertainty did not increase children's ability to generate an efficient test for those claims. However, exploratory analyses revealed that children's ability to provide a plausible reason for their beliefs did, controlling for their ability to select an efficient test for a claim. This suggests that developments in children's reasoning about their beliefs allow them to more effectively assess those beliefs empirically.
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