Modeling Clustered DNA Damage by Ionizing Radiation Using Multinomial Damage Probabilities and Energy Imparted...

Simple and complex clustered DNA damage represent the critical initial damage caused by radiation. In this paper, a multinomial probability model of clustered damage is developed with probabilities dependent on the energy imparted to DNA and surrounding water molecules. The model consists of four probabilities: (A) direct damage of sugar-phosphate moieties leading to SSB, (B) OH^- radical formation with subsequent SSB and BD formation, (C) direct damage to DNA bases, and (D) energy imparted to histone proteins and other molecules in a volume not leading to SSB or BD. These probabilities are augmented by introducing probabilities for the relative location of SSB using a ≤10 bp criteria for a double-strand break (DSB) and for the possible success of a radical attack that leads to SSB or BD. Model predictions for electrons, ⁴He, and ¹²C ions are compared to the experimental data and show good agreement. Thus, the developed model allows an accurate and rapid computational method to predict simple and complex clustered DNA damage as a function of radiation quality and to explore the resulting challenges to DNA repair.