Rate and Predictors of Disease Progression in Patients with Conservatively Managed Intermittent Claudication: A

Joseph Louis Jervis Froud1, Madeleine Landin1, Arsalan Wafi2

  • 1Academic Department of Vascular Surgery, Guy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.

Annals of Vascular Surgery
|December 18, 2024
PubMed

Insights

Progression from intermittent claudication (IC) to chronic limb-threatening ischemia (CLTI) is poorly understood. Diabetes, renal failure, and smoking are key predictors, but evidence quality is low.

Area of Science:

  • Vascular Medicine
  • Epidemiology
  • Systematic Review

Background:

  • Intermittent claudication (IC) affects 4.5% of the UK population.
  • Progression to chronic limb-threatening ischemia (CLTI) carries a significant health burden.
  • The natural history of conservatively managed IC is not well-described.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To examine the rate of progression from IC to CLTI.
  • To identify predictors of progression in conservatively managed IC patients.

Main Methods:

  • Systematic review of 9 studies (4,115 patients) using major databases.
  • Included adult patients with IC managed conservatively.
  • Analyzed progression rates and predictors via univariate and multivariate analyses.

Main Results:

  • Progression to CLTI ranged from 1.1% to 36.7% across studies (mean follow-up 5.4 years).
  • Significant predictors of progression identified: advanced age, diabetes, hemodialysis, smoking, LDL, HbA1c, and baseline ischemia severity.
  • Diabetes, smoking, and hemodialysis were significant in multivariate analysis.

Conclusions:

  • Diabetes, renal failure, and smoking are significant predictors of peripheral arterial disease (PAD) progression.
  • Evidence quality and data heterogeneity limit definitive conclusions on progression rates.
  • Further prospective studies are needed to guide personalized management of IC.
Abstract

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