Prognostic Value of Systemic Inflammatory Markers in Elderly Patients with Tumor-associated Venous Thromboembolism

Elderly tumor patients are more prone to venous thrombotic events than nontumor patients. To investigate the relationship between systemic inflammatory markers and overall survival (OS) in elderly patients with tumorassociated venous thromboembolism (TAVTE). And to evaluate the prognostic value of combined lymphocyte platelettolymphocyte ratio (PLR) with neoplasm metastasis in elderly patients.

A prospective study was conducted. A total of 172 elderly patients with TAVTE admitted to the hospital from January 2017 to December 2019 were included in the study, which were followed up for 2 years. Clinical and laboratory data were collected. All-cause mortality within after discharge were followed up. The optimal cutoff values of neutrophiltolymphocyte ratio (NLR), PLR, systemic immuneinflammation index (SII), and monocyte to highdensity lipoprotein ratio (MHR) for predicting efficacy and prognosis were determined according to receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the areas under the ROC curve (AUC). Kaplan-meier curves were used to analyze the survival time. Univariate and multivariate COX logistic regression analyses were used to analyze the independent predictors of OS in elderly patients with TAVTE.

The cut-off values for NLR, PLR, SII, and MHR were 3.375, 274.63, 399.73 and 0.58, respectively. And the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.639(95%CI: 0.556-0.721), 0.628(95%CI:0.544-0.712), 0.595(95%CI:0.510-0.680) and 0.596(95%CI: 0.510-0.683). Survival analysis showed that OS was longer in the NLR≤3.375 group (181.07 weeks, 95% CI: 150.11 ~ 212.03) than in the NLR >3.375 group (108.95 weeks, 95%CI: 90.38 ~ 127.51) (P = 0.005). The OS of PLR≤274.63 group (160.40 weeks, 95%CI: 138.41 ~ 182.38) was longer than that of PLR >274.63 group (43.85 weeks, 95%CI: 34.08 ~ 53.63) (P < 0.001). The OS of SII≤399.73 group (176.62 weeks, 95%CI:147.26 ~ 205.97) was longer than that of SII>399.73 group (126.55 weeks,95%CI: 105.04 ~ 148.05) (P = 0.012). The OS was longer in the MHR≤0.58 group (156.24 weeks, 95% CI: 127.05-185.43) than in the MHR>0.58 group (108.11 weeks, 95%CI:86.85-129.38) (P = 0.011). Univariate and multivariate Cox analysis showed that tumor metastasis and PLR>274.63 were independent predictors of the lower OS in elderly patients with TAVTE (P < 0.001). According to the tumor metastasis and the cut-off value of PLR, a combined scoring system MPS (Metastasis and PLR System) was designed. The OS of the 0, 1 and 2 score groups was 184.08 weeks (95%CI:158.11-210.05), 82.60 weeks (95%CI:61.57-103.64), and 23.83 weeks (95%CI: 9.575-38.09) (P < 0.001), respectively.

Our findings suggest that the systemic inflammatory markers (NLR, PLR, SII, MHR) may have predictive value for all-cause mortality in elderly patients with TAVTE. PLR combined with tumor metastasis may be an effective index to predict the prognosis of elderly patients with TAVTE.